The Tanzania Premier League clash between Simba SC and Kagera Sugar on June 22, 2025, at 9:00 PM EAT at Benjamin Mkapa Stadium promises to be a thrilling encounter. Simba SC, a dominant force in Tanzanian football, face Kagera Sugar, a resilient side known for their defensive discipline. This article provides a detailed preview, key statistics, and a prediction for the match.
Team Form and Standings
| Team | Position | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba SC | 2nd | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 12 | 64 |
| Kagera Sugar | 8th | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 37 |
Simba SC are in top form, unbeaten in their last eight league matches, with five wins and three draws. Their recent 2-0 victory over Azam FC showcased their attacking prowess, with Joshua Mutale and Steven Mukwala leading the charge. Kagera Sugar, however, have struggled for consistency, managing only two wins in their last six games. Their latest match ended in a 1-1 draw against Tanzania Prisons, highlighting their ability to grind out results.
Head-to-Head Record
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.05.2025 | Premier League | Simba SC | 1-0 | Kagera Sugar |
| 21.12.2024 | Premier League | Kagera Sugar | 0-1 | Simba SC |
| 18.02.2020 | Premier League | Simba SC | 1-0 | Kagera Sugar |
| 23.11.2019 | Premier League | Kagera Sugar | 2-1 | Simba SC |
Simba SC have dominated recent encounters, winning three of the last four matches against Kagera Sugar. However, Kagera’s 2-1 upset in 2019 at Kaitaba Stadium proves they can challenge Simba on their day. Over 19 historical meetings, Simba have 12 wins, Kagera 5, and 2 draws.
Key Players to Watch
| Team | Player | Position | Goals | Assists | Key Stat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba SC | Steven Mukwala | Forward | 14 | 5 | 6 goals in last 5 home games |
| Simba SC | Joshua Mutale | Midfielder | 8 | 7 | 3 match-winning goals this season |
| Kagera Sugar | Lamine Moro | Forward | 6 | 2 | Scored in 2 of last 3 away games |
| Kagera Sugar | Ally Mwarami | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6 clean sheets in 28 games |
Simba’s attacking duo of Mukwala and Mutale will be crucial, with their ability to exploit spaces in Kagera’s compact defense. Kagera Sugar rely on Moro’s clinical finishing and Mwarami’s shot-stopping to keep games tight.
Tactical Breakdown
| Team | Formation | Style | Strength | Weakness |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba SC | 4-2-3-1 | Possession-based, high press | Dynamic wing play | Vulnerable to counter-attacks |
| Kagera Sugar | 4-4-2 | Defensive, counter-attacking | Organized backline | Limited goal-scoring threat |
Simba SC are likely to control possession, using their wingers to stretch Kagera’s defense. Kagera Sugar will aim to absorb pressure and hit on the break, with Moro as their focal point. Simba’s high defensive line could be exposed if Kagera’s counters are precise.
Recent Performance Trends
| Metric | Simba SC | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals per game | 2.0 | 0.86 |
| Conceded per game | 0.43 | 0.79 |
| Clean sheets | 16 (57% of matches) | 11 (39% of matches) |
| Matches under 2.5 goals | 12 (43% of matches) | 20 (71% of matches) |
Simba’s matches often feature goals, with 57% of their games exceeding 1.5 goals. Kagera’s low-scoring games reflect their defensive approach, with eight of their last nine league matches producing under 2.5 goals.
Prediction
Simba SC are heavy favorites, given their superior form, home advantage, and historical dominance over Kagera Sugar. Their attacking depth should overwhelm Kagera’s defense, which has struggled to keep clean sheets against top sides. However, Kagera’s disciplined setup and counter-attacking threat could make the game closer than expected.
Expected Scoreline: Simba SC 2-0 Kagera Sugar
Betting Tips:
- Under 2.5 goals (based on Kagera’s low-scoring games and Simba’s tight defense).
- Simba SC to win to nil (Simba’s 16 clean sheets and Kagera’s limited attacking output).
- First half: Simba SC leading (Simba have led at halftime in 60% of their home games).
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